Asia Market Movers: Westpac: China must shift to proactive policy in 2026 to sustain growth

Wednesday, 18 Feb, 2026 News Westpac: China must shift to proactive policy in 2026 to sustain growth China achieved 5% growth in 2025 on export strength, but analysts warn that sustaining momentum in 2026 will require a proactive shift toward boosting domestic demand and stabilising housing. Summary: Central Banks RBNZ holds OCR at 2.25%, lifts projected rate path modestly higher The RBNZ held the OCR at 2.25%, signalling inflation is returning to target while revising its future rate path slightly higher. Policy remains accommodative for now, but gradual normalisation is expe Learn more Central Banks RBNZ leave cash rate on hold, as expected This post is just for getting the decision out quickly. Added - MUCH more here, details analysis etc: RBNZ holds OCR at 2.25%, lifts projected rate path modestly higher NZD/USD has been marked a littl News Australian wage growth as expected and the same as prior quarter In line data. Central Banks Westpac Leading Index slows to near-flat, signals cooling growth momentum Westpac's Leading Index slowed to near-flat in January, signalling growth momentum has slipped back to trend. Consumer and housing weakness offset commodity support, with GDP still seen at 2.5% in 202 News Japan January exports surge much higher than expected Exports to the US -5% y/y to EU +29.6% to China +32% y/y I'll have more to come on this separately. Central Banks IMF urges Japan to keep raising rates, warns against sales tax cuts The IMF urged Japan to continue gradual rate hikes toward neutral by 2027 and warned against cutting the consumption tax, highlighting fiscal risks as Takaichi's government pushes ahead with tax relie News Japan manufacturers rebound in February Reuters Tankan, services sentiment slips Japan's manufacturers rebounded in February to +13, but services sentiment eased to +25, highlighting an uneven recovery. Forward indicators point to modest softening into May. Summary: Reuters Tankan Learn more Central Banks Goldman lifts AUD/USD forecasts to 0.74 as RBA hawkish stance supports outlook Goldman raises its AUD/USD path to 0.72–0.74 over 12 months, citing RBA hawkishness, relative policy divergence and valuation support, while flagging commodity and global risk risks. Summary: Goldman

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