| | | | | The Brief | Feb 21, 2026 | | | | 3 quick answers that help you find trades others can't | | | | | | | | | Check out this newsletter we're testing and let us know what you think at the bottom | | | | | | | | | What are this week's market risks or opportunities? | | | | | | Nvidia's earnings are the biggest market event this week. With a $4.49T market cap, it's the market's AI barometer—so results could swing the NASDAQ and S&P 500. | | | | What could go wrong: Expectations are sky-high (38.8x forward P/E). Any disappointment could trigger valuation compression and a broad tech selloff. SaaS stocks, already down 15%, could fall further. | | | | What to watch for: The real market mover will be Nvidia's 2027 visibility. If management hints at explosive growth ahead, the rally may have legs. A strong beat confirming AI infrastructure demand (forecast: $650B data center capex) would fuel the broader "picks and shovels" rally. | | | | Bottom line: Nvidia's results are the heartbeat of AI and tech investing. Confirmation fuels the rally. But perfection is priced in—any crack could trigger a broader tech correction. | | | | | | | Which trades should I consider? | | | | | | While Nvidia grabs headlines, smart money is also hunting in the wreckage. That brings us to the "SaaS-pocalypse". | | | | Despite fears of AI disruption, companies with real moats are showing resilience—and creating opportunity. | | | | Software valuations are down 33% since October, yet heavyweights like Microsoft, Intuit, and Adobe show analyst upside targets from 17.2% to 63.8%. | | | | The current SaaS selloff poster child: Salesforce. Down >40% year-over-year, it has 56.3% Fair Value Upside and a strong 2.82 Financial Health Score. This is one of the market's largest disconnects between sentiment and fundamentals. | | | | Thinking of buying any of these SaaS selloff dips? | | | | | | | | | | | Should I consider this trade? | | | | | | If you're trading Nvidia's earnings, timing is everything. Think short and tactical. | | | | Best timeframes: 1-hour for intraday swings, daily for trend shifts. 1-month and 1-week are less actionable—this is event-driven, not long-term narrative. | | | Technical signals (2pm GMT, 18/02/2026): - 1H, 5H: Bearish bias, neutral momentum
- Daily: Neutral with strong buy signals on technical indicators
- Weekly/Monthly: Bullish but less relevant for binary earnings events
| | Pre-earnings play: Conflicting signals suggest waiting and watching for daily chart momentum—that's when directional conviction strengthens. Volume spikes and MACD crossovers on the daily are your key confirmations. | | | | | | | | | | | Data correct to 18.02.2026 | | | | How would you rate this email? | | | | | | |  | | | | | | | © 2007-2026 Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved. | | | | | | | | To ensure proper delivery and quick loading of images, please add newsletter@investingmail.com to your safe sender list. | | | | Disclaimer:
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