| | | | | The Brief | Feb 14, 2026 | | | | 3 quick answers that help you find trades others can't | | | | | | | | | Check out this newsletter we're testing and let us know what you think at the bottom | | | | | | | | | What are this week's market risks or opportunities? | | | | | | Kevin Warsh, Trump's pick for new Fed Chair, was once a hawk—but whether he'll lean hawkish or dovish this time remains an open question. With Trump's growth agenda pushing for easier policy, markets are bracing for Wednesday's FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) minutes for early clues about how Warsh will show up once he's sworn in. | | | | Here's what Wall Street is debating—and missing. | | | | Barclays and Morgan Stanley both see Warsh tilting dovish, but with different implications. Barclays expects him to tolerate inflation for AI-driven growth, while Morgan Stanley warns he may cut Fed guidance, letting data—not talk—drive markets. | | | | The consensus? Dovish tilt. The blind spot? No one's pricing in how volatile markets get when the Fed goes quiet. Traders will be reading Wednesday's tea leaves for clues. Expect real-time reactions. | | | | | | | | | | | Which trades should I consider? | | | | | Markets respond fast to dovish Fed cues—especially with major indices just off record highs. The tell is what happens to rate-sensitive assets: - USD: Weakens as lower rates reduce yield appeal
- Gold/Silver: Rally as the dollar softens and real yields drop
- Tech stocks: Benefit from lower borrowing costs
| | Gold is the canary in the coal mine—the most direct expression of dollar weakness + perceived Fed dovishness. It just jumped above $5,000/oz, front-running Wednesday's minutes. | | | | Ask WarrenAI to analyze your portfolio for Wednesday's volatility risks. | | | | | | | | | | | Should I consider this trade? | | | | | | Gold's consolidating after a 10% crash from recent all-time highs—post-trauma price action means sharp reversals are likely. Chasing price is dangerous; disciplined entries and patience are your edge. | | | | Here's our AI's 1-day trading playbook for 12.2.2026: | | | | Our highest-confidence read: this is a No-Trade Zone between 5,077–5,110. The range is filled with noise and reversals. Your best edge is waiting for a decisive break. | | | No-Trade Zone (Neutral - High Confidence) - Zone: 5,077–5,110
- WarrenAI Take: Stay out until price proves direction
| | If you need to be positioned: | | | Momentum Breakout (Bullish - Moderate Confidence) - Entry: Above 5,110 | Stop: 5,067 | Targets: 5,135 / 5,170
- WarrenAI Take: Watch for short-covering acceleration on break
| Support Bounce (Bullish - Average Confidence) - Entry: Pullback to 5,077 with bounce | Stop: 5,063 | Targets: 5,110 / 5,135
- WarrenAI Take: Wait for confirmation support holds
| Breakdown Play (Bearish - Cautious Confidence) - Entry: Below 5,067 | Stop: 5,090 | Targets: 5,040 / 5,015
- WarrenAI Take: Fast scalp only—watch for momentum follow-through
| | Want technical chart analysis for Gold in real-time? | | | | | | | | | | | Data correct to 12.02.2026 | | | | How would you rate this email? | | | | | | |  | | | | | | | © 2007-2026 Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved. | | | | | | | | To ensure proper delivery and quick loading of images, please add newsletter@investingmail.com to your safe sender list. | | | | Disclaimer:
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