European Markets Wrap-Up: ECB Lagarde reportedly told colleagues that she remains focused on her job

Thursday, 19 Feb, 2026 Central Banks ECB Lagarde reportedly told colleagues that she remains focused on her job This builds on the headlines from yesterday: ECB president Lagarde reportedly poised to leave the central bank before her term expires ECB says Lagarde remains committed to her role as president The l Commodities Oil prices surge amid US-Iran war risks: a conflict could trigger a massive spike FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW Oil prices recouped all last week's losses as risks of a US-Iran conflict increased. In fact, we got a report from Axios suggesting that a war between the U.S. and Iran now appear Learn more Forex US-Iran tensions most untimely for the SNB The present situation catch up is that Switzerland is squaring off against deflationary pressures once again. While not quite yet reaching deflation territory, the worries are mounting as inflation pr News JBA chief says reasonable chance of BOJ rate hike to come in March or April Hanzawa says that: "There is a reasonable possibility that the BOJ will raise interest rates as early as in March or April." For now, markets are not really expecting one to come next month at least. Commodities Renewed US-Iran tensions lift gold prices as traders hedge into the weekend risk FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW Gold started to find some footing yesterday as risks of a US-Iran conflict increased. In fact, we got a report from Axios suggesting that a war between the U.S. and Iran now appea News What are the main events for today? EUROPEAN SESSION In the European session, we don't have anything on the agenda other than a couple of low tier releases that won't change anything for the respective central banks. The focus remains o Forex Orders FX option expiries for 19 February 10am New York cut There are a couple to take note of on the board for the day, as highlighted in bold below. The first ones are for EUR/USD at the 1.1790-00 levels. The expiries don't tie to any technical significance News Foreign holdings of US Treasuries cool slightly after peaking in November In wrapping up the 2025 year, foreign holdings of US Treasuries dropped slightly in December to $9.27 trillion. That compares with the peak seen in November at $9.36 trillion. The $88.4 billion drop m Learn more News Geopolitics in focus in the second half of the week The rising tensions and expectations of a potential military conflict over the weekend is now keeping markets on edge. Oil prices rallied yesterday, with WTI crude moving up by over 4% to $65 levels n

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