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Wednesday, February 4, 2026

Asia Market Movers: Nomura sees BoJ rates rising to 1.5% by 2027, with hawkish risks beyond

Wednesday, 04 Feb, 2026

Central Banks

Nomura sees BoJ rates rising to 1.5% by 2027, with hawkish risks beyond

Nomura sees Japan's rate cycle extending into 2027, with risks tilted toward a higher terminal rate. Summary: Nomura sees a high probability of further BoJ tightening through 2027 Base case assigns 60

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News

PBOC sets USD/ CNY mid-point today at 6.9533 (vs. estimate at 6.9385)

Earlier: PBOC to inject 800 billion yuan via three-month reverse repo operation Yuan seen rising in 2026, but China signals resistance to rapid gains The PBOC allows the yuan to fluctuate within a +/-

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News

Japan services PMI hits 11-month high as demand and hiring strengthen

Japan's services-led recovery gained pace in January, though confidence remains cautious despite easing cost pressures. Summary Japan's services sector growth accelerated to an 11-month high in Januar

News

New Zealand Commodity Price Index rose in January

Rose 2.0% m/m in January prior -2.1% In NZD terms the index rose 1.3% m/m stronger NZD offsetting higher commodity prices overseas Earlier: New Zealand jobs report shows firmer hiring but unemployment

Central Banks

PBOC is expected to set the USD/CNY reference rate at 6.9385 – Reuters estimate

Earlier: Yuan seen rising in 2026, but China signals resistance to rapid gains The People's Bank of China is due to set the daily USD/CNY reference rate at around 0115 GMT (2115 US Eastern time), a fi

Central Banks

PBOC to inject 800 billion yuan via three-month reverse repo operation

China's central bank said it will inject 800 billion yuan via a three-month outright reverse repo, using a tool introduced in late 2024 to keep banking system liquidity ample without changing benchmar

Forex

Yuan seen rising in 2026, but China signals resistance to rapid gains

China's export-driven yuan gains are set to continue in 2026, but policymakers are poised to cap the pace of appreciation. Summary: Analysts expect the yuan to strengthen further in 2026, but policy r

Central Banks

Powell pardon won't lift Fed blockade as Tillis holds line on investigation

A Powell pardon would not break the Senate logjam, with Tillis holding firm until the Fed probe concludes. Summary: Senator Tillis says a Powell pardon would not lift his Fed nominee blockade He insis

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Stocks

AMD shares fall as AI outlook disappoints despite strong Q4 earnings beat

AMD beat Q4 forecasts but cautious guidance dented confidence as investors pushed for faster AI upside. Summary: AMD beat Q4 earnings and revenue expectations Guidance disappointed, triggering a sharp

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