European Markets Wrap-Up: USDCAD consolidates at 2025 lows: USMCA risk weighs on the CAD, hot NFP boosts the USD

Thursday, 12 Feb, 2026 Forex USDCAD consolidates at 2025 lows: USMCA risk weighs on the CAD, hot NFP boosts the USD FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW USD: The US Dollar spiked higher yesterday following a strong US NFP report as the market pared back slightly Fed rate cut bets but surprisingly gave back all the gains. Maybe the Stocks SoftBank says nothing has been decided about additional funding round in OpenAI SoftBank earnings today showed that the firm swung back into profit in its fiscal third quarter, largely driven by founder Masayoshi Son's large and growing investment in OpenAI. For some context, Sof Learn more Forex USDJPY fades quickly NFP gains and falls to a key trendline; US CPI in focus now FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW USD: The US Dollar spiked higher yesterday following a strong US NFP report as the market pared back slightly Fed rate cut bets but surprisingly gave back all the gains. Maybe the News China now tries to play nice with the EU with latest trade rulings The two sides are having to rely on one another in trying to make the best out of a tough situation brought about by US tariffs. France did stir the pot a little with some controversial headlines belo Commodities Precious metals hold more rangebound again after the US jobs report There were some encouraging signs for precious metals in the run up to the US jobs report yesterday. However, buyers didn't quite get the right kind of trigger to solidify their conviction and we're s News What are the main events for today? EUROPEAN SESSION In the European session, the main highlight was the UK Q4 GDP report. The data was slightly weaker than expected but didn't change materially the current BoE outlook, so the market re News UK Q4 preliminary GDP +0.1% vs +0.2% q/q expected Prior +0.1% GDP +1.0% vs +1.2% y/y expected Prior +1.3%; revised to +1.2% The headline figure might point to marginal growth on the quarter, but UK real GDP per capita is now down for two consecutive Forex Orders FX option expiries for 12 February 10am New York cut There aren't any major expiries to take note of on the day, with the full list seen below. There are some largish ones for EUR/USD at the 1.1750-60 levels but they aren't likely to feature into play. Learn more Central Banks How has the Fed outlook changed after the hot US jobs report yesterday? There were a lot of positive takeaways from the US jobs report yesterday here . That at least if you're a dollar bull, with the numbers offering plenty in terms of reaffirming steadier labour market c

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