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Wednesday, February 11, 2026

American Market Recap: Oil falls after Trump says his preference is for a deal with Iran

Wednesday, 11 Feb, 2026

News

Oil falls after Trump says his preference is for a deal with Iran

Trump posted this on Truth Social: I have just finished meeting with Prime Minister Netanyahu, of Israel, and various of his Representatives. It was a very good meeting, the tremendous relationship

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Central Banks

Bank of Canada minutes: Agreed they would need to maintain optionality in setting rates

The market isn't pricing in any more cuts from the Bank of Canada, so they're data watching and there isn't much in the commentary that could be market moving. Agreed ahead of Jan 28 decision that the

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Forex

US sells 10-year notes at 4.177% vs 4.163% WI

Prior was 4.173% This is a poor auction and certainly doesn't help Trump in his case for lower interest rates. Earlier he wrote: GREAT JOBS NUMBERS, FAR GREATER THAN EXPECTED! The United States of Am

News

Why software stocks continue to melt down and why it could continue

It is a tough time to be a public software company. Stocks are getting punished again today: PLTR -4.2% APP -6.2% INTU -5.6% ADBE -2.2% ADSK -5.5% WDAY -6.5% ZM -5.8% U -28% (!) The flashpoint was Cla

Commodities

EIA weekly crude oil inventories +8530K vs +793K expected

Prior was -3455K Gasoline+1160K vs -362K Distillates -2703K Refinery utilization -1.1% There were some waves late yesterday when the API survey showed this: Crude +13.4M Gasoline +3.3M Distillates -2.

News

Mexican President Sheinbaum: I do not believe the US will withdraw from USMCA

This is a notable comment from Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum who said she does not believe that Trump with withdraw the US from the USMCA trade agreement. Earlier today, a report from Bloomberg

Central Banks

Fed's Schmid: Further rate cuts could allow higher inflation to persist for longer

Further rate cuts could allow higher inflation to persist for longer. Not seeing evidence current level of interest rates is restraining economy. Appropriate to keep restrictive monetary policy with i

Education

Manipulating prediction markets is a booming industry

An interview yesterday on CNBC with Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour laid bare the truth. He was grilled by Becky Quick about insider trading on the platform. Mansour highlighted how they investigate suspicio

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Stock market update

Tech leads the charge: Semiconductors soar, home improvement dips

Sector Overview The US stock market today paints a diverse picture, driven by distinct performances across sectors. Leading the pack is the semiconductor sector , showcasing substantial gains, while

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